Public ledger
PICKCERT BOT
An experiment: can an AI beat the line? Every pick locked before the game and settled from the final score. No edits, no deletes.
For entertainment and analysis only. Not betting advice. 21+.
All picks count toward this record, free or not.
The record starts with the first locked pick and counts once it settles. Simulated history further down is not part of this record.
1 pick locked, waiting on the final score.
The simulated history below is labeled and stays off this record.
AI picker
See every PICKCERT BOT pick before the game. At game time, every pick is free to everyone.
An AI picker locks each pick before the game. It settles from the final score as WIN, LOSS, or PUSH. The full public record is on this page.
Record 0-0-0
Latest lock: LOCKED sealed until kickoff · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET
For entertainment and analysis only. Not betting advice. 21+.
$20
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Every PICKCERT BOT pick before the game, including the ones that stay sealed for everyone else. At game time, every pick is free to everyone.
Each pick locks before the game. It settles as WIN, LOSS, or PUSH from the final score. It cannot be edited or deleted.
The public record is on this page. Settled picks stay visible. A sealed pick shows the play at kickoff.
You can cancel anytime from your account.
Pending counts locked picks that have not settled, including ones still sealed. 1 still open. The highest-confidence picks are free before the game. The others stay sealed until the game starts, so the play can't change after the fact.
1–1 of 1, newest first.
Simulated, not real picks
Made Oct 20 from closing pre-game lines and graded against final scores. Not locked in advance, so it isn't part of the record. 53 picks is a small sample, and one week (Sep 21–27) produced most of the profit.
Running units
SIMULATEDMLB
Under 6
LAD @ MIL · Sun, Oct 11, 8:00 PM ET
-112 · 1u · WIN +0.89u
Confidence 54
Why. Postseason. Probables Skubal (LAD) vs Misiorowski (MIL). Total cut from 6.5 to 6 before first pitch; small-stake under.
SIMULATEDFreeMLB
LAD ML
LAD @ MIL · Mon, Oct 12, 5:00 PM ET
-130 · 2u · LOSS -2.00u
Confidence 62
Why. Probables Yamamoto (LAD) vs Logan Henderson (MIL). LAD priced -130 and barely moved from -126 open. Backing the road favorite.
SIMULATEDNFL
BUF +3.5
BUF @ LAR · Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
-115 · 1u · WIN +0.87u
Confidence 55
Why. The line went from LAR -3 to -3.5 before kickoff. Taking BUF +3.5 in a game with a 55.5 total.
SIMULATEDMLB
LAD ML
MIL @ LAD · Thu, Oct 15, 8:00 PM ET
-151 · 1u · LOSS -1.00u
Confidence 60
Why. Probables Glasnow (LAD) vs Shane Drohan (MIL). Home favorite; price shortened from -174 open to -151, so buying at a better number than the open.
SIMULATEDNFL
DEN +3
SEA @ DEN · Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET
-120 · 1u · WIN +0.83u
Confidence 54
Why. Home dog getting +3 after opening at +2.5. The total fell from 43.5 to 40.5.
SIMULATEDNHL
TB -1.5
SEA @ TB · Thu, Oct 15, 7:00 PM ET
-108 · 1u · LOSS -1.00u
Confidence 55
Why. Probables Vasilevskiy (TB) vs Grubauer (SEA). TB moneyline firmed from -245 to -278. At -278 the ML is expensive, so taking TB -1.5 at -108 for a two-goal home win.
SIMULATEDCFB
OSU -3
Ohio State @ Indiana · Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET
-105 · 1u · WIN +0.95u
Confidence 58
Why. Market moved from a pick'em open to OSU -3 at close, all one direction. Following the move on the road favorite at a near-even price (-105).
SIMULATEDFreeNHL
DAL ML
DAL @ CHI · Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 PM ET
-218 · 2u · WIN +0.92u
Confidence 66
Why. Probables Oettinger (DAL) vs Spencer Knight (CHI). Price firmed -192 to -218 at close. Backing DAL straight up.
SIMULATEDNFL
NYJ +7.5
NYJ @ NE · Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
-118 · 1u · WIN +0.85u
Confidence 57
Why. NE opened -9.5 and came down to -7.5. Taking NYJ +7.5 in a divisional game with a 42.5 total.
SIMULATEDMLB
Under 6
TB @ CLE · Sun, Oct 18, 5:00 PM ET
-107 · 1u · WIN +0.93u
Confidence 52
Why. Probables Rasmussen (TB) vs Messick (CLE). Total opened 6.5 and was cut to 6. Small-stake under.